Author: Lawrence Chan

What a week – first we got that largest flush in absolute term over the entire history of the US stock market, and then followed up by a equally impressive comeback on option and index future expiration Friday. So are we bullish or bearish now?

I believe nothing much can happen during the holiday weeks ahead. Majority of the professional traders having a good year will not even think of trading during this time. Lack of size players, stock market usually favors drifting slightly higher until triggering events suddenly happen.

David Lin having a discussion with Chris Vermeulen about what to expect short term. Christ has been consistent with his views and his calls are pretty good over the past 2 years. So this is a good time to hear from him to prepare for 2025.

At the year end, all kinds of predictions about next year showing up on YouTube. From western astrologer to economists making all kinds of amazing forecast, year 2025 for sure will be an exciting one for the trading communities. Everyone who is not an idiot knows that the current geopolitical, financial and natural environments are all compressing to a point of no return. Should anything erupt from these singularities, financial markets will react wildly which implies those who are prepared will be able to take advantage of the opportunities.

So who are the idiots, watch this video from Robert Greene.

One interesting video discussing the latest hot topic of aliens and all kinds of conspiracies surrounding the subject just popped up. If you have time, take your time to watch the whole thing.

These two weeks I have many meetings before year end. In between, we have these holidays for gathering with friend and family.

I will be taking things slow going into new year.

Have a great weekend and Merry Christmas!

On Friday, NDX pushed higher again to another all-time-high while the rest of the indices are stuck in their holiday mode. Next week is quarterly expiration for futures, options, etc. Maybe a little pick up of volatility because of that but no one believes the stock market can go much lower.

I learned something new from this video about the Pluto declination cycle. In my much earlier work on planetary cycles and their relationship with long term commodity trends, I built a model that did not work well until I incorporated the declinations of all the planets into the calculation. This is such a great reminder that we can all miss something even when we are all looking at the same thing.

Brent Johnson has another thoughtful video posted regarding the upcoming Trump tariffs and also Tesla. Remember Trump is not POTUS yet. What happens now, for which he declares all kinds of initiatives, may not be what we get by the time he really makes it into White House.

Don’t forget that the world is so obsessed with man-made climate change b.s. that these idiots from Germany got scammed so easily. The blame is squarely put on the Chinese companies but I think the Germans had chosen to ignore the signs because it is the easy way out.

Index future expiration by Friday, so this is rollover weekend keeping all of us here busy.

Have a great weekend all!

Finally, NDX playing catch up with SPX and now going into the holiday season, every large financial institutions are upgrading their 2025 targets for SPX. Seriously?

So all external factors are not important anymore because Blackrock declared the boom and bust cycle is no longer valid?

Well, Warren Buffett may have a different opinion.

The latest hot topic must be BTC breaking above 100K. Even Jim Cramer said BTC will go higher for sure. Since we all know how good Jim is, BTC lovers may be in trouble.

I find an interesting video talking about the subtle changes to Schumann Resonance. If this odd condition continues, our bodies will be affected significantly. Sleep will be very difficult going forward for those who are more sensitive to Schumann resonance changes.

For those of you interested in the understanding of the universe, this long discussion should interest you.

Lately, I am switching back to paper based notes taking. After 2 years of this experiment, I am giving up the electronic approach. One of the reasons is that I almost freak out when I could not turn on the notes taking device …

Lots of work to get done these 2 weeks before the year end holidays.

Have a great weekend all!

Can’t believe this is the end of November already. One month to go before this year is over. Will the US stock market keep grinding higher from here?

Given November being the best month so far for the year, historically, December are likely negative.

Chris Vermeulen is not bullish anymore and his take on the current market conditions is a good overview on what to expect next.

Of course, there is always opposite view like Tom Lee who believes US stock market and Bitcoin can go higher.

This Thanksgiving week, I was on the phone with quite a few friends having long conversations. Among these talks, I think one stands out and worth sharing here. Contrary to what majority of people believe, the successful traders I know of do not really making good money every year. Some actually made so much money in a few good years and then they will play it safe after. Be aggressive at the right time with the right market conditions is not well understood enough.

Lately, there is a huge rise in talks about UFO appearances. Why now? Here is an explanation offered by an astrologer.

Back to work now. So much has to be done before end of 2024.

Happy Thanksgiving to my American readers!

Another magical week that SPX recovered from the “mini-dip” and pushed higher to near all-time-high again. How far will it go?

From what I gathered, Fed and its peers have been very busy “saving the world” by printing infinitely more money almost every other week to keep the global financial system from breaking down. It is quite a spectacular thing to watch in real-time. Since they will continue to do the same until it does not work, so as long as no world shattering event happening, this pattern of slow grind up with mini-crash will continue.

So what event can disrupt the central banks’ effort?

First, Russia can cancel Christmas for the western countries.

Second, our Sun can fry Earth into dark ages anytime now.

Third, the only thing that keeps the US economy going is government spending. Trump plans to cut it …

Or, the latest round of disclosures of UFOs can be the start of even more explosive events like all out alien invasion.

Should we worry about our future? I think we should.

Until something happens, however, life goes on here on Earth and we just have to keep grinding.

Have a great weekend all!

After another new all-time-high a week ago, finally we started to see a little cool off for the US stock market. Would that translate into a deeper correction? We will find out soon enough.

We are literally within days of leaving behind the Pluto in Capricorn era. Are you ready for that? There are so many videos on YouTube talking about it like this one. I find that one of the key themes of this change of era is missing. Namely, the big and powerful (e.g. large corporations, governments, very powerful figures, etc.) that abuse their authority positions will be punished in ways we can’t even imagine.

Since Trump won the election, there are many talks of him to bring more prosperity to the country. Some others believe otherwise. Here is Hugh Hendry’s very cryptic message of what he sees coming.

Latest hot topic on the net is definitely the alien narrative. I am sure we are going to see a lot more video like this one in the near future.

Time to get back to work.

Have a great weekend all!

Another new all-time-high for SPX with 6000 tagged. All the averaged historical pattern for election year failed this year as there is no real increase in volatility going into the election and then right after, the bulls unleashed 200% all-in. We can all tell by common sense that it is not normal. But how can this happen?

Here is one possible answer that tells you we were that close to a global financial breakdown. If this observation is correct, central banks of the West are now on 7/24 watch to Band-Aid the financial system, until they can’t. And that implies serious liquidity will be pumped into the system, leading to hyperinflation of all the risk assets.

For those of you who are no longer young and would like to finally do something to stay fit, here is an inspirational video of someone who shows us serious exercise is not something out of reach. My take from this is that if you make exercises a consistent part of your life, you can get away with eating a lot …

Many people are making predictions that after Trump’s victory, we will soon face a major financial crisis. Well, that’s not fair because whoever won will face the same damn consequence of crazy money printing. Here is a balanced look at the situation.

Back to work.

Have a great weekend all!

US stock market took a breather last week and the hidden bears all came out saying the sky is falling. Well, no serious damage to the up trend on daily yet. And even a 20% correction is nothing relative to the gains made so far this year. Only those who chase the move back in October are now trapped, if, they use a lot of leverage.

I like this video a lot because rarely we see this kind of frank discussion with a working exorcist. People who are allergic to religion can skip this. Those who are curious, prepare to take a deep dive.

This video from a year ago looked at a research that finds men are not good at identifying potential cheating partners, while women are, by just looking at the face. I will let you ponder why that’s the case.

Doomberg has been very active lately on quite a number of podcast, etc. Here is one of them. As always, I do not necessary agree with what people say but listening to others’ analysis can help.

I am extremely busy still given multiple projects I am working on are reaching important milestones. Hopefully by mid November I will have better clarity on what to do going into 2025. Can’t believe we are in the last two months of the year already.

Have a great weekend all!

Another week of going nowhere near the all-time-high for both SPX and NDX. This time thanks to TSLA and NVDA doing so well. All large firms have upgraded their year end targets for the indices. So is it clean sail to another 10% higher or should we worry about a market crash that never comes?

As I explained many times, after covid crash all central banks and their governments in the world seized the opportunity to go “all-in” with printing for their friends and families. So there is no way to go back to “reasonable” fiscal and monetary policies. In other words, we are at the end stage of the current financial system. The game play for this environment is very different from, say, the “normal” environment back in the 1980-2000, and definitely not the same as 2000-2018.

Here is a good take on what’s next for the stock markets in the coming months.

Many astrologers predicted the world will be very different starting October. Yet, many people do not feel any different. So are they just exaggerated the expected impact of these greater cycles, or, is it just a matter of time that will hit us all?

What I know is that such long term cycle effects do not impact everyone at the same time. Hence it is a new wave of changes coming and then as the collective effects become detectable, they will be in full force already.

So here is yet another video on what may happen in 2025.

From my point of view as a trading professional, all the signs are there that major disruptions in geopolitical order, energy transportations and global population decline are all going to affect us all in coming years. The first one could be US election mess that is going to happen very soon.

But is it the prophetic “end of times” era landing upon us? I don’t know. For that we have to consider what these gurus have to say.

Have a great weekend all!

Yet another all time high with S&P500 this week while Nasdaq 100 lacking behind. The stock market looks unstoppable while the FURUs out there having two extremely opposite opinions on what will happen in the coming months. We are just 2-3 weeks until US election. Historically the US stock market are more likely to pullback until the election result is in. We will see if this year the same pattern recurs.

And we also have the potential drama of election results being challenged similar to what happened back in year 2020. At this point if you still believe year 2020 election results was not manipulated, you have a mental issue. The question is how long does it takes this time to decide who is the winner.

My bet is that it will take, literally, forever. Why? All US mainstream media are paddling that Harris is actually gaining ground and is like a 50-50 bet at this point against Trump. Musk pointed out German MSMs even calling Harris is at 70% chance of winning at this point. However, third party polls and betting sites all tell a different story with Trump’s lead widening. So whatever the outcome of the election, there will be people not believing in the results, even if the election is not rigged.

Here is an interesting video of Doomberg talking about the upcoming disruption of US economy. What is explained in the video is very simple to understand. Yet, the whole world seems to be so disconnected to reality …

Lately, there are so many ads on all kinds of money making schemes from trading options to all kinds of hustles, it reminds me of Tom Vu. Here is a funny recount of his work from 1990s.

Time for something funny for a relaxed weekend.

Have a great weekend all!