Category: Blog

Another week of all time high printed for the S&P500 while the perma bears continue to calling top all week. Maybe we just need to wait their they throw in the towel first before a reasonable pullback can happen?

Another short video from Bravos Research on Buffett’s huge cash position and its implications.

A new episode of U Got Options featuring Rick Santelli. Again, Cem Karsan is doing a great job giving us an informative talk on current market environment and what it implies in the near future.

Scott Adams made a post on X stirring up a lot of comments. It is a form anger that he knows that justice will never be served …

Due to potential regulatory issues, I may have to pause my weekly updates going forward. If so, I will let you all know ahead of time.

Have a great weekend all!

Option expiration Friday brought us a quiet week for which multiple attempts were made to break the high and low of the week prior. Yet nothing happened.

So we now have a coil up of index prices for 2 weeks at this all-time-high level waiting for a way to break out of this range. Will that happen next week? And will it be going higher or lower?

Hard to say due to Trump’s seemingly erratic announcements day after day.

Again, the bears argue that this will not end well.

Well, if the stock market is kind of high risk for a correction, maybe you can look into alternatives like cryptos as Trump just signed the “genius act”. Michael Saylor is claiming that Bitcoin is going for millions …

Instead of paying too much attention to the markets, I prefer some dry humor from Patrick Boyle dissing the idiocy of some large scale infrastructure projects.

Have a great weekend all!

What an interesting week with Trump’s tariff shocks and all these mysteries trades happening right before his announcements on all the right instruments to rip the benefit of billions of dollars … yet not a word of investigations on these transactions.

And just this morning we now have more tariff fun, spreading to EU and Mexico as well.

I came across this video talking about the myth of stock market performance over the years. It is a pretty good video explaining what’s wrong with the common belief that stock market provides superior return all the time. It is just the latest one from a long line of articles, books and other media over the past decades trying to expose the truth.

I love this video from Patrick Boyle discussing this hot topic of tail whacking the dog behavior in the financial markets. So when will US banning the use of 0DTE to mess up normal market actions?

David Lin having a discussion with Father Emmanuel Lemelson on what he sees in the financial markets for coming months. Last time he was on the show, he made several great calls. His opinion is worth listening to.

We are now well into the summer yet our work here has been accelerating in all directions. An exciting few months that will keep me extremely busy for sure.

Have a great weekend all!

Another all-time-high was made during the shortened week for the US stock market before the July 4 holiday weekend. Sentiment of retail investors also recovered to extreme bullish view. Yet, Trump just bombed the world with all kinds of announcements about the tariffs, Powell’s future and other claims to satisfy his ego  trip.

I guess a very chaotic July is coming for all the financial markets.

I find this video a good summary of how science ended up not scientific at all. And this is a subject I explained many years ago – when so much sunk cost already made, and that many people’s reputations and careers are on the line, these so-called scientists always end up not accepting the truth and lie their ass off.

Talk of the town of course is the endorsement of stablecoin by Trump’s latest legislation. The impact on the financial markets is huge. This is a short video explaining the ripple effects on the US treasury markets.

So, given this integration of stablecoins into the “real” financial markets – how is it going to impact the fiat currencies like the US dollar? Brent Johnson’s take on the current state of US dollar decline is worth listening to.

I have a not so pleasant long weekend so far for which one of my uninterruptable power supply (UPS) has just died. So we have to schedule a complete shutdown of all the servers powered through this UPS and swap out the UPS with another one.

So I better get back to work now.

Have a great weekend all!

Us stock market was unstoppable last week and a new all-time-high was made. Bears are forced to take losses and in turn pushed the indices higher everyday. Next Monday is 2025 2nd quarter end.

What is in store for us in the 2nd half of the year?

Doomberg did this interview telling us his opinions on the current environment. It is almost an hour long and I consider this time well spent.

Lately, many governments are facing a difficult situation for which the rise of unemployment and lowering of real estate prices. This led to drastically different approaches to tackle such problem through government policies. However, it is impossible to really solve such problem without understanding what kind of mess we are in.

Here is a great video explaining where we are in the global pyramid scheme.

Of course, there are people very optimistic about the future. One thing pointed out in this video is that even AI could be a game changer for our future in the long run, there is significant risk of short term disruption to the economy caused by AI.

This weekend we have monthly update on our Windows servers … another busy weekend as usual.

Have a great weekend all!

An eventful week of escalation of Middle East conflicts, FOMC interest rate decision and the quarterly expiration of index, stock and index future, yet ended relatively quite on Friday.

In a time of uncertainty, what’s better than hearing from Nassim Taleb? His takes on the current market environments is summed up right from the beginning of his words so pay attention to that.

To blow your mind off, here is a video with Arthur Hayes on everything related to cryptos. Ever since Trump’ genius act surfaced, the crypto space is no longer that detached from the traditional financial world. It is a good idea for regular folks to get familiar with cryptos …

This coming new moon June 25th is one of the most anticipated ones in over several decades. This video provides the context of why it is so important in astrology.

Have a great weekend all!

Another week full of surprises ended with a selloff Friday for the US stock market. Next Friday is the quarterly futures and options expiration so expect volatility to pick up starting next week.

The Middle East situation creates a lot of uncertainty for the financial markets. This can lead to a very difficult trading environment with very large gaps and volatile price actions. My suggestion to beginner traders is to stay on the sideline and observe what happens.

Cem Karsan just released a new episode of U Got Options with Benn Eifert. It is very educational and good for anyone who is involved with the financial markets these days.

On the other hand, Jeff Gundlach did an interview that outlines his takes on the current market environments from his unique macro perspective.

I find this post on X pretty much sums up what we are seeing these days on the geopolitical front …

This is rollover week so my team is busy working over the weekend to get ready for trading next Monday.

So better wrap up here and get back to work.

Have a great weekend all!

Another week of surreal market actions thanks to all kinds of bizarre news. So what to do now? Hedge funds are definitely forced to chase this market. But should we do that as longer term investors is a different story.

Personally I am leaning on risk off due to the way the market is moving. It is a continuous lack of clarity that drives the market moving in panic again and again. This is not healthy and any unforeseen event happening can have extreme impact on the financial system.

I am not the only one thinking about this. Here is what astrologers are saying about the coming weeks too.

And I find this discussion of China, from Peter Zeihan, a great summary of how wrong he is on everything. His problem probably rooted from his inability to understand that the world has changed so much over the past few years that it is no longer that important to pretend that one can easily predict the future based on some outdated beliefs.

Technicians are having a hard time with the current market environment, Chris Vermeulen’s take makes sense but it is hard to time the top given so many hedge funds are chasing this rally.

I am out of town at the moment with some friends to chill out this weekend.

I needed this break to review and think of what to do next for my ventures.

Have a great weekend all!

Last trading day of May concluded yesterday, creating another record for the financial media to talk about all week. The best performing May of any year going back decades. FURUs are all high at this moment talking about how this setup for another 20% rally from current level based on this one number.

Bulls are all excited while the bears are angry why their forecast of a crash not happening …

Both sides got this wrong – May performed like this because of the sell shock back in March and April forced Trump to pop up the stock market at all costs. He has been feeding out good news at every juncture when the stock markets are about to turn lower. Some people blatantly positioned themselves right before every single one of his announcements with huge position size, obviously knowing what to expect right after. Just once or twice, that can be coincidence. Now that it is more than 10 times in a row …

This means that Trump was in a panic all month long trying so hard to keep the illusion of a strong stock market up … can this kind of manipulation keep going or will we see a correction that wipes out all these artificial gains?

Simply look back into 2007 can give us a clue. Paulson, being a goldmanite, was the secretary of the treasury and magically the stock market kept grinding up without any meaningful pullback for almost a year. It was all headline news back then claiming all kinds of new records in the stock market too.

I am avoiding links to financial market predictions this week so as long to induce more emotions into my investor readers.

Instead, here is a video on how to reduce your heart age by 20 years spending only 10 minutes a day on average. If you are an active investor or trader, you will need that going thru the roller coaster ride in coming months.

Or, if you do not intend to take on this kind of challenge, here is another way to accomplish something great for your health. This is not something new, just not widely available say, 5-10 years ago. These days, I can find more than 10 locations across Toronto here offering the service.

When the future is so uncertain, people tend to look into the sky for clues. I find the sentiment among the astrologers on youtube are saying completely opposite things for June. Here is a scary one to keep you from having a good night sleep.

But do I worry about this kind of predictions? Nah … just to mess with you all.

Have a good weekend!

This week SPX moved lower thanks to Trump’s clockwork precision in giving out more tariff shocks to manipulate the financial markets. As such a short term correction has started and it can get very interesting should the rumored “Liberation Day 2.0” really happens by early June.

Lyn Alden had a discussion with Jimmy Connor on her takes of Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill”. Ms Alden pretty much explained all the short and longer term effects of this bill. It also means we should all be prepared to deal with the expected impact on the economies for US and the rest of the world.

One of the hot topics on X is the steady rising of bond yields across not only the US treasuries but also across all other major economies around the world. This is a serious problem for all these governments that have been printing money all these years. Their inability to attract buyers have many implications. Steve Hanke explains what will happen should this situation continues.

If you are interested in esoteric stuff that predicts the future, this video probably will stir your interest and keep you from sleeping well.

Have a great weekend all!