Author: Lawrence Chan

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TLC Weekly Update August 27, 2021

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Jackson-Hole Fed meeting started with Powell’s speech sending the stock markets printing yet another new all-time-high today. The so-called uncertainty about these Fed governors whether they would do anything to ruin the gravy train is obviously an outright lie. Why would they do that and be blamed for causing market crash or whatever economic disaster?

If you still believe that people in power would do the right thing or having any form of moral standard, you need to grow up.

I watched this video from Vice about the CIA’s involvement in drug dealing back in the 1980s. Very interesting video that shows why absolute power corrupts absolutely. Notice how major media always cover up and distort everything. Whatever and whoever they go against, are often the right side of the moral compass. Hence it is important to stop reading anything written in these media to keep your mind from contamination.

Here is an old video about the ancient computers predicting the future. Seriously, it is just a simple dynamic system that updates its equations one year at a time. It is nothing more than a toy. But it made it to the news back then almost 50 years ago and again back in 2018.  It shows how human loves to live by predictions of the future.

On a funny note, Patrick Boyle made a one minute video on Robinhood. Hope you get a laugh from it.

I am working hard to complete our next set of goals by this quarter end. We’ve started investigating various markets to see which ones are better fit with our trading objectives. So much work and so little time as always. I am not sure if I bought a lemon computer but the continuous high CPU load on that computer doing optimization and related tasks led to several BSOD already. May have to replace the computer soon.

Have a great weekend all!

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TLC Weekly Update August 20, 2021

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Another week of market weaknesses saved by magic rally on Friday. Many are wondering who are buying these dips. Well, there are two main groups of people who can’t wait. First, it is the retail traders and investors who are piling everything they have into this easy money game. Second, it is the hedge funds and traders who have to answer to their investors and bosses. Lack of a reason that can put fear into the longer term investors, a technical correction may only induce a 10 to 20 percent damage to the US stock market.

I watched this video on politicians using their positions to make money in the financial markets. It is a good introduction to the subject. What’s missing is the reporting of the net worth of all these politicians before they became elected and where they stand now comparing to someone who worked in the private sector with comparable salary and compensation. If you are interested, look it up yourself. You will be astounded.

Thorium Molten Salt Reactor is a much safer form of nuclear power plant. It is safe than any Tesla moving around the world, as a comparison. However, countries like Japan and United States chose to build the much more dangerous versions for the sake of military potential. Thus, I am very surprised that China would go for this safe route.

Mr. El-Erian, former CEO of PIMCO, commented about the current global economic environment. His take on interest rate carries weight. Indeed, big guns in the markets would not worry until Powell makes up his God damn mind.

Lately I see a trend emerging from the governments worldwide pitting their own citizens against each other by blaming their failures in handling the covid crisis on those who are not vaccinated. This type of strategies I thought was only employed by the dictators and crazy regimes. Of course, many people who does not know better often fall into this kind of traps. Remember, it is the governments worldwide that failed to focus on finding an existing drugs to repurpose for frontline treatment that leads to the mess now. Leaky vaccines are not the answer as admitted now by those who pushed the agenda for so long.

It is now proven, that there are at least 30 existing drugs, both safe and cheap, are useful for the fight against covid. If the governments did not waste time and put resources into this area, we would have identified them in the first 3 months of the pandemic. Even now, these governments still block the use of these drugs because they can’t admit to being wrong, or that they are in bed with the vaccine makers, I really don’t know. The information is out there, all you need to do is look. And by the way, do not use those so-called fact checking sites. They are owned by the big pharma too. I am not joking.

This weekend I will be doing chores again, to take a break from the regular research and development work. It is hard to stay productive and creative when one is looking at the same thing everyday. Maybe enjoy some sunshine while summer is here in Canada is exactly what I need.

Have a great weekend all!

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A Non-Conventional Approach to Investing by Following the Long Term Cycles of CEOs and Hedge Fund Managers

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The financial industry is full of idiotic ideas on how to pick the right stocks using all kinds of so-called scientific approaches like fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Lately, they even added physicists and other hard science PhDs to find new ways to profit from the markets. Based on my 30+ years of trading experience, however, none of these stuff works consistently. They don’t work well because markets really move due to aggregated human beliefs, not because of some voodoo earning multiples that someone from the past telling you that 8 is normal and 20 is too high.

So what has Wall Street missed in finding a way to beat the markets?

Well, they failed to utilize the most esoteric analysis tool of all – astrology.

I am not talking about Western astrology here. I am talking about classic Chinese astrology that has a full fledge system in determining a person’s luck cycles with money, fame and career. Instead of looking at a company’s birth chart like many Western astrologers assumed to be of any significance, why not look at the person who has most to lose on the rise and fall of a company’s stock price?

Yep, I just said it. All you need to do to see if a stock is going higher is to find a company founder or just anyone whose wealth is more than 50% tied to a stock. If that person is entering a lucky cycle with money and wealth, the stock price would go higher, if this postulate really works.

We can even extend this concept to look at the famous hedge fund managers to see if they are in their lucky cycle or not. If they are lucky, lean on their bets. If they are unlucky, bet against them, or at least be very careful if you agree with them.

So I finally say it out loud publicly that astrology may have useful applications after all, aside from being a party trick or entertainment among friends.

If this approach really works, the implication is far more interesting than just discovering yet another market timing tool. Think deeply on how Western culture likes to worship all these big company founders and famous market gurus. Public regards whatever these people say about their philosophy in running businesses and in investing as some kind of wisdom to learn from. But in reality, if my conjecture is correct, they were probably in their lucky cycle that manifested into fame and fortune. Once their luck is gone, whatever they say no longer has that magic quality …

This also creates another issue often misused by casual astrologers. Many people who believe in astrology often go one step too far assuming they can find all the reasons of success from the exact birth time of a famous person. That is so wrong. For even the most famous billionaire of our time, at the moment, Bill Gates, has other people who were born at the same time he was, in the same city and did not fare as well as Mr. Gates does financially.

In short, we maybe able to use astrology to identify important decision time and the luck cycles but the rest is all about personal choices and the environment influence. Accept the limitation of astrology will help one use it correct.

Here comes the challenge: who should I choose to experiment with and see if the Chinese astrology system really works?

Tell me who you want to be studied first.

I will work out the specifics and post it here.

Let the experiment begins!

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TLC Weekly Update August 13, 2021

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Today is Friday the 13th. Another record setting day for the stock markets worldwide. According to multiple sources, retail players are now going all-in. If that is really the case, then this rally will last at least until majority of these retail investors used up all their bullets first. I wonder when that will be.

Read a report of robbery … and it makes me wonder how low USA has sunk. I am not sure if going to USA will be a good idea for any tourist in the future.

I am thinking and preparing my trading firm’s disaster strategies. I have learnt more about the Carrington Event and it is enough to keep me waking up at night. Seriously, even NASA can only warn us just hours before the impact of these solar coronal mass ejections on Earth. Unlike more than hundred years ago, our cities and pretty much everything depends on the functioning of our electricity grids and, well, the internet. I wonder how prepared we are against this type of disaster.

The talk of the Great Resignation has been popping up everywhere. It is a phenomenon that we should not ignore. The crazy covid responses worldwide by the governments produced this movement, intentional or not doesn’t matter. What matters is that going forward the societies as we know will change drastically due to this change in attitude among many people.

And if you have the time, enjoy this lecture about a mystery period in human history. It was done back in 2016. And I think it is so relevant today that we should be aware of the possibility that, unlike what those New Age dreamers saying everyone is going into spiritual enlightenment now, the coming decades could be the world burning down to ashes with majority of human going insane first.

For those of you interested in stargazing, a spectacular light show is happening these few days. If you get the chance to observe the sky in a rural area with less artificial light, you will love what you see.

This weekend I have tons of chores piled up that has to be taken care of. It happens when I am so focus on my research work from time to time. Time to clean the clutter!

If you have email me over the past few weeks and I haven’t responded yet, just send it to me again.

Wish you all a great weekend!

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TLC Weekly Update August 6, 2021

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Another week of all-time-high wild actions by the stock market. This energizer bunny just keeps going and going. Fun to watch but not easy to navigate if you are an active trader. Howard Marks summarizes this nicely in this interview.

I find this video very interesting because of its implications in improving the electricity grid on large scale basis. The hype on Musk’s work on batteries for home use is really impractical compare to this low cost solution. Well, I am bias on anything Musk does right now but that is a separate topic …

Someone sent me this video on cutting up ATM machines as if it is treasure hunting. I never imagine that people would simply leave those money in the ATM machines. Fun to watch!

The world is living in fear again lately due to the surge in cases of covid across the globe. I tried to avoid talking about this topic for a long time because I do not agree to the many propaganda promoted by the mainstream media and various dumb politicians. For example, why the focus of finding treatment for covid using existing drugs not of highest priority for almost two damn years? If it were made the highest priority, I am 100% sure than within 3 months of the spread of the pandemic we would already have an army of medications to deal with the crisis and that countless number of people would be saved, not almost two years later.

The dumbness (or scientific ignorance) of the politicians, giving them the benefit of doubt that it is not their greed and self interest, tells the world that we have to stop electing these people to manage our societies. As long as these clowns are there, the tragedy we are going through now will repeat. Sadly, I think this will not happen anytime soon.

It looks to me that we are at the eye of a storm with financial markets, covid crisis and geopolitical tensions all standing at this delicate balance at the moment. Any one of them going south, all the rest will be in total chaos again.

Buckle up!

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TLC Weekly Update July 30, 2021

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Can’t believe it is already the end of July. Time flies when you just work until you are so tired and crash in bed day after day.

An interesting video explaining why first class is disappearing. Airline business is indeed a tough one. I wonder how long it will take for the industry to recover from covid.

A friend sent me this video about people dumb enough to go online shopping for hitman. Are people really losing their common sense these days?

After watching this video, I want to get one of these beautiful chess sets too. Maybe I will buy myself that this Christmas …

Some of you asked why I have time to watch all these videos and read all kinds of articles while complaining about not enough time to work on my projects. Well it is quite simple to answer – I accomplish all that during my lunch and dinner. And I only eat two times a day.

This will be a Canadian long weekend. My schedule wouldn’t change though – research and development is a forever grind that takes someone who enjoy the process.

Have a nice weekend all!

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TLC Weekly Update July 23, 2021

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Another all time high for the stock markets this week. What a stunning performance this week from down 2% to printing triple all time high records today. The big question remains – how long can it last?

My take as a day trader is to deal with it one day at a time. There is no point guessing when the markets will stop going higher or lower. Here is a good point made by Jeff Gundlach.

Hikaru took the challenge to play 5 miuntes to 1 minute odds games. When you look at his games with the other GMs in the world it is hard to realize how good a super GM really is. But then when he plays against normal people …

Read this piece from YouTube and confirmed the story myself. I am speechless of what Ontario is going to do to math and hard sciences in schools. I guess no opportunity is wasted when it comes to spreading this disease to the younger generations.

More work to be done for my projects. Good news is that I managed to complete tons of stuff this week. The bad news is that I hurt my right wrist badly due to extreme long hours of typing. My hand will get a break this weekend from typing. I guess I will focus on reading instead.

Have a great weekend all!

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TLC Weekly Update July 16, 2021

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This is option expiration Friday again. Earlier today a stock market veteran I know for years commented about the market actions this week and then asked for my opinion. Serious, when people talk like that they are just asking for your agreement. I do my usual thing by telling him that it is just option expiration week. This is how funny the world is because human in general have no higher awareness … in a few weeks time he will repeat the same mistake all over again.

Last week I mentioned a better video platform called Odysee. To follow-up on that, here is a video of the US government trying to squash this platform by wasting US taxpayers’ money to destroy it through lawsuits. Whenever you see a government doing things like this, you know which side is the bad guy.

Here is a video from Dr. Paul Mason on how misguiding your doctors can be when it comes to taking care of their patients’ health. I am 100% sure 98% of the licensed doctors out there do not know enough basic science or latest understanding of human physiology to be really qualified to take care of their patients. Remember it is your job to take care of yourself properly. Being ignorant nowadays can be deadly. With great videos like those created by Dr. Mason, you can learn as much as you are willing to and improve your health starting today.

For those of you active investors, here is a video about a subject I talked often in my newsletter – global population implosion. I try very hard not to touch on this subject publicly for years. Now that someone made a video about it, you can watch it and be prepared for the inevitable.

Another week is over and yet I still haven’t been able to catch up with my projects. The hardware issues happened last few weeks really messed up my plan. There is no other way out of this – just put in more hours to catch up.

Have a great weekend all!

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TLC Weekly Update July 9, 2021

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Another all-time-high week for the US stock market, with everyone thought that on Thursday morning the rally was over, the market magically rallied all the way back up today. Is this the new norm? I don’t know but we are definitely living in interesting time.

I came across this great video about learning style. I always tell people the best way to learn is to acquire the knowledge of how to learn better, not depending on your personal preference. And this video illustrated the concept nicely.

We often hear about rich kids hiring people to do their homework and even take the exam for them. However, thanks to the internet, the more common form of cheating is really the writing of essays and term papers by hired guns. This article explodes some aspects of the problem that you may not know.

Lately I learned about the video site Odysee.com that many youtubers have migrated their videos over there due to censorship. In the future if there is a version of the same video is available on odysee, I will link to that instead of youtube because you never know when YT would use its ban hammer on a video for whatever reason …

I am also thinking of publishing on odysee instead of youtube for long term viability. I haven’t figure out exactly what to do with it yet. I will keep you all posted about this in coming weeks.

It is third quarter of the year and I am pushing hard to keep my schedule. It is not that easy though when there are so many things I have to attend to. Hopefully this quarter I make good progress with several projects and reduce my stack of to-do tasks by half. Keeping my fingers crossed!

Have a great weekend all!

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TLC Weekly Update July 2, 2021

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2021 2nd quarter finally ended. We just got our Canada Day on the first and this weekend July 4th for United States. It is a long weekend for people like me who work with the US stock markets. It is also my chance to take a break from my hectic schedule and hopefully get some rest.

Another young chess player just got his grandmaster title this week. His name is Abhimanyu Mishra from United States. He breaks the record of being the youngest grandmaster that held for 19 years. Here is a video of him talking about his experience.

Master Lock has outdone itself again with this combination lock – it is so bad you don’t need to pick the lock to have it opened. LockPickingLawyer has done it again!

I have learned something very fascinating about smell and how that affects animals. Dr. Huberman takes it a step further with interesting studies on how you breath and smell can affect your ability to learn and and remember things. For those of you like to learn more about this, check out his podcast #25.

For some mysterious reason the hardware problems that gave me so much headache is now gone. Everything has been working fine since Mercury retrograde ended. Could that be me and my team who finally fixed the technical problems or is that something unexplainable happened? I will let you decide.

I was told that this coming week or two are very significant because of the astrological setup in the sky. Well, so far this year nothing much really happened even though many people claiming more bad things should be happening. Hopefully these predictions will be proven wrong and that our lives can go back to normal soon.

Time for me to take a break this long weekend!

To my U.S readers, Happy Independence Day!