Author: Lawrence Chan

A relatively quiet week in the financial markets when people have learned to live with the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

A very interesting take on the college education landscape in United States. I wonder when this video will be considered as misinformation and banned from YouTube.

If you have not heard about the chaos caused by the nickel market, you should watch this video so that you have a basic understanding of the metal markets in general. What happens to them not only affect the trading communities, they also have indirect impact on everyone.

A discussion about the near future with Brent Johnson, who is famous for his “dollar milkshake theory”. If you do not know what the theory is about, check out this video.

This week I am again late to post my weekly update. Reorganization of my home space is now mostly done. So hopefully everything will go back to normal schedule soon.

Have a great weekend all!

Today is option expiration Friday. For some, they can’t believe the stock market has rallied so much these few days. However, if they pay attention, the indices are really just moving back towards the midpoint of the year. Nothing special.

A funny sci-fi writer’s take on the simulation hypothesis is quite amusing if you are into this type of thoughts.

I have seen quite a number of video on YouTube in Chinese that are clearly against Russia in this current conflict with Ukraine. The funny thing is that these so called knowledgeable people all sounds like idiots to me because they are obviously expressing their opinions in a way that are deeply influenced by right-wing Western propaganda.

Well, it is sad to see such narrow minded people being called the “thought leaders” in Hong Kong and other Chinese speaking communities.

Here is a more balanced view of the root problem.

If you are losing sleep often you may want to watch this video. Interesting information that may help you get better rest.

This weekend and early next week I will be extremely busy to complete my home reorganization. I have been working on this for almost two weeks now. Age really plays a factor in doing all these heavy lifting. It is clear that I can’t do this all by myself anymore. Lucky that I have my son and close friends to help out.

Have a great weekend all!

Another week of extreme volatility across all financial markets led investors and traders into deep confusion on what to expect in the future. Big name like Zoltan Pozsar even floating the idea of Bretton Woods III is coming. That definitely scares the sh*t out of many long term investors. But isn’t that what Ray Dalio has been telling everyone over the past two years?

If you want to understand the perspective of Pozsar, here is a video of him talking about the economy and financial markets.

Another crazy act coming from Canadian politicians again – the introduction of Bill 67. It is essentially making “critical race theory” the centre of all education from kindergarten to college kids. If you try to search online looking up what CRT is, majority of them, including Wikipedia, will give you words coming from mentally dysfunctional people. You won’t get the truth.

If you are interested to understand the subject, here is a video from Bret Weinstein and another one from Jordan Peterson.

Here is a great video coming from someone who took on the task of learning 10 different languages. His insights should be a good guidance to anyone who has a desire to become a better person.

Coming few weeks starting now, I have major home reorganization to do. I am sure lots of heavy lifting and hard labour will be involved. Let’s see how long it takes for me to recover after it is all done.

Hence, I may not be able to answer emails quickly as I will be away from my computers most of the time. If you are sending me any messages, expect turn around time of a day or two later.

Have a great weekend all!

Can’t believe it is March already and this Non-farm Payroll week could not follow its usual script anymore as geopolitical issues now the focus of many traders and investors. But seriously, who can predict the outcome?

My advice to casual traders and day traders is to avoid trading during this time. You may not be able to handle the extreme volatility both psychologically and technically. It takes good understanding of the nature of volatility to thrive in this environment.

Ray Dalio uploaded a video that is timely for everyone to think deeply on what is happening now. Given the fact that he has diversified his portfolio away from United States, it sends a clear message that he sees a very different world going forward …

For those of you who are prepping for WW3, this is a video you must watch. Canned corned beef can taste / smell very bad if you choose the wrong brand.

I find this video on AI’s way to win the Monopoly game very interesting. In fact, more than two decades ago, that’s how I first started using trading bots in simulations to study market dynamics. One can learn so much about the financial markets by just understanding what other participants do in the markets. Yet, every retail traders are in a hurry to make money so they always focus on beating the market without first understanding what their opponents are doing in the game.

I am way behind schedule on my projects again. I lost a day thanks to power outage for many hours. Not even my uninterruptable power supplies (UPS) can last that many hours. And then I have all these new discoveries in price discovery behaviour that I have to manually verify. I guess it will be another month of crazy work hours.

Have a great weekend all!

This week we’ve witnessed one of the most powerful reversal in the stock market within two trading days. Some people claim that it is due to the long term players who bought put options as a hedge to their portfolios selling the puts to collect the profit. In turn the market makers are forced to unwind their hedges which push the stocks and the stock indices higher. Some others claim that it is the middle of the Venus Mars conjunction leading to the stunning reversal.

Maybe that’s true. Maybe not. Who knows?

Dr. Van Tharp passed away this Thursday. It is a huge loss to the trading communities worldwide. Personally I was deeply affected by his work. My rigorous approach to trading is a result of following his philosophy. Here is a link to Dr. Tharp’s youtube channel. For those of you interested in trading, I am sure you will benefit from his work.

I came across this interesting article about Joe Bailey “Aurora Hunter”. Since I am very interested in seeing the Northern Lights at least one more time, it looks like using Joe’s service would be the best bet.

For those of you concern about the Russia Ukraine situation, a good video put out by Patrick Boyle on the effectiveness of cutting off Russia from SWIFT.

This week I am again not able to keep my schedule to post this weekly update on Friday. My schedule is getting even more hectic going into March. Let’s see if I can squeeze out more productivity under the condition.

It is going to be a good challenge to take on.

Have a great weekend all!

First option expiration Friday of the year got a very difficult problem to solve – how to stop this selloff and help January to recover back up above year 2021 close? Seriously the big question is whether Powell want the stock market going higher from here after 8% correction or that he will wait for a deeper correction like 20% before stopping it stone cold. For those of you who have inside access to what he is thinking, I don’t mind getting some tips on this.

My prediction made on Jan 7th that lockdowns worldwide will end soon looks very promising. UK has given up the bullshit already and so do several other countries. By now the lies told by the government officials and big pharma about covid are common knowledge thanks to the effort made by the heroes who stood up against these crazy people and exposed their crimes. Hopefully, those who are being brain washed can finally wake up and defend themselves properly.

For those of you interested in trading and investing, here is the latest webcast from Jeff Gundlach. It was done back on Jan 11. Gundlach is nice enough to make it available on YouTube allowing more investors to learn from his work.

For those of you who like fishing, this is what we do in winter here in Ontario Canada – ice fishing!

Last year YouTuber agadmator’s chess channel hosted a tournament for everyone to join at lichess near Christmas. He managed to invite quite a number of grandmasters and top chess players to join the game so that regular chess players get a chance to play against them personally. Well, the event was such a success that it crashed the lichess servers quickly and the tournament was halted. Finally, the tournament resumed and GM Hikaru won. Here are some interesting games to enjoy.

At –20C here, I am going nowhere this weekend and will focus on getting more things done.

Have a great weekend all!

Can’t believe it is Saturday already and I failed to post this on last night. I was so tired I went straight to bed and fall asleep at once. What a hectic week.

Here in Toronto Canada we are experiencing extreme coldness these few days. Day time temperature is below –20C. With wind chill effect it feels more like –30C. I guess I am going nowhere this weekend even though I have some chores to take care of.

Not sure how I bump into this video but the hammerhead sharks are indeed very interesting. I always wonder why their heads are so “abnormal” comparing to other sea creatures. Never thought of it being useful …

For anyone who do not know what Trusted News Initiative is, this video is a must watch. Once you get an idea how badly you are affected due to these evil organizations, consider taking the following actions:

1. Ditch your MSM free email accounts and switch to something like protonmail

2. Reduce usage of twitter and youtube by switching over to other open platforms

3. Develop critical thinking based on logic, not copying sound bites offered by experts on MSM

One good example of the woke / liberal authoritarian idiocy is the b.s. we see on Mike Pompeo’s weight loss. All these so called experts on MSM started to call him lying because there is “no way” he could lose 90 pounds in 6 months the way he described. Some others pile on saying that it is unhealthy to lose weight so fast, blah blah blah.

I know quite a few individuals who lose more weight than Pompeo in about the same amount of time using very similar method. And it is very healthy to lose weight quickly if you are doing it correctly. There is no need of special program to achieve this. Everyone with half a brain can find necessary information online these days. But only those who has the determination and discipline like Pompeo whose focus is not about lose weight but to get healthier can do it on their own.

I suspect this video will be taken down soon. I know, I know, yet another video about covid. But this one stir my interest because it analyzes the covid situation in Australia. Much better reporting than the b.s. we see from MSM. One disturbing trend mentioned in the video is the prime age (18-49 years old) mortality in US has spiked much higher (> 40% increase) over the past 12 months ending October 2021 that has nothing to do with covid.

If it were a price chart, my bet is that it is just the start of an explosive move to the upside. For God’s sake, I hope I am wrong.

Got to get back to work.

Have a great weekend all!